CD Fortuna vs CD La Avanzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
CDF
50%
24%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CDF
4 - 0
SEU
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDF
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CDF
0 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 2
CDF
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD La Avanzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
LAA
0 - 3
COL
19%
22%
58%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GRI
3 - 1
LAA
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LAA
3 - 1
VAL
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LOE
1 - 1
LAA
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VCJ
0 - 1
LAA
38%
25%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |