Firgas vs San Nicolás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Firgas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FIR
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 1
SIS
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 2
FIR
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 1
ART
48%
21%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
UCB
3 - 0
FIR
44%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Nicolás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SIS
0 - 1
SNI
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SNI
1 - 2
ATA
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DOR
5 - 1
SNI
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SNI
2 - 5
EST
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ARG
5 - 1
SNI
64%
19%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |