Carejas Paredes vs Palencia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CFB
2 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 4
LER
52%
23%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
INT
0 - 6
PAL
18%
22%
59%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
CDC
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 2
PAL
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
PAL
33%
26%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |