Carejas Paredes vs Villada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 3
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 1
UDB
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GRI
2 - 4
CAR
21%
20%
60%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PAL
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 3
CER
83%
11%
7%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 2
VDB
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 2
VIL
74%
15%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
19%
19%
63%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
6 - 1
UDB
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | +1 |