Carejas Paredes vs Castilla Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFB
15%
21%
64%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
TUR
2 - 2
CAR
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEB
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 3
CDC
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 2
CFB
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
CDC
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
4 - 0
SJO
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
UNA
2 - 1
CDC
37%
23%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |