Carejas Paredes vs Belorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 6
TUR
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UXA
3 - 1
CAR
52%
22%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 4
NUM
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UPP
0 - 2
CAR
58%
20%
21%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CEB
0 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Belorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARE
5 - 1
BEL
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LER
1 - 0
BEL
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 1
BEL
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
UXA
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |