Carejas Paredes vs Astudillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 1
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VDB
3 - 0
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
6 - 1
UDB
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
AST
3 - 1
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
JOP
2 - 1
AST
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AST
7 - 0
UDA
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
AST
33%
23%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AST
0 - 1
MON
51%
22%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |