Carejas Paredes vs Deportivo Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carejas Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 6
TUR
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
UXA
3 - 1
CAR
52%
22%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 4
NUM
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LER
1 - 0
ARE
40%
24%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ARE
5 - 1
BEL
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
ARE
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 2
UXA
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |