CD Extremadura vs EF Puebla de la Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+227%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
6º
3º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
79% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 0
LRZ
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 0
CDE
61%
22%
17%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 4
GIR
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 90 | 54 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CFJ
1 - 0
CDE
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 4
CDE
25%
22%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
EF Puebla de la Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
CFJ
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
2 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 3
ADL
12%
19%
70%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
PUE
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 3
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |