Ibarsos vs Rafalafena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+133%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarsos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORP
2 - 3
IBA
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
IBA
1 - 1
ESP
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ATZ
2 - 2
IBA
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
IBA
4 - 2
MOR
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rafalafena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 5
PEN
37%
22%
41%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
EFC
1 - 0
RAF
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 1
BOR
17%
18%
66%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 0
RAF
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 3
XIL
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |