CD El Roque vs Arafo FEM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+145%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Roque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ROQ
1 - 7
ARM
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SRE
2 - 3
ROQ
59%
21%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROQ
2 - 3
SAT
20%
21%
60%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UIS
1 - 2
ROQ
61%
19%
20%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ROQ
1 - 2
AZA
13%
17%
70%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arafo FEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SAT
5 - 2
ARA
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHI
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 2
ARA
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
4 - 1
GUI
35%
21%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 4
SAT
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |