CD El Nacional vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
NAC
2 - 0
SBO
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1984 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 1
NAC
97%
2%
1%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
OCT
1 - 0
UNI
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1985 |
SBO
0 - 2
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
TOL
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |