CD El Nacional vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
EME
0 - 0
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
EME
2 - 1
UCH
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCH
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCH
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |