CD El Nacional vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
BSC
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
OLM
0 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CUE
2 - 2
NAC
37%
26%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
MUS
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 3
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
UCE
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
UCE
2 - 1
BSC
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
UCE
3 - 2
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 2
UCE
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |