CD El Nacional vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
0 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
IVT
2 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 3
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UCE
1 - 2
BSC
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 1
UCE
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 0
FAM
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 0
CLA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
UCE
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |