CD El Nacional vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 3
NAC
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 0
CUE
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
40%
29%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
UCE
0 - 3
BSC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UCE
2 - 0
MUN
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 1
UCE
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UCE
1 - 2
IVT
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
IMB
3 - 2
UCE
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |