CD El Nacional vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
NAC
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 1
COL
52%
21%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1969 |
CCP
0 - 0
UCO
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1969 |
MIR
3 - 2
UCO
49%
23%
27%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 0
CCP
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |