CD El Nacional vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
NAC
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 28 | 46 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
CCP
5 - 0
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
0 - 1
SPC
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |