CD El Nacional vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 3
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIG
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
DYJ
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 3
DEL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
BSC
3 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 2
DEL
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
EME
3 - 0
RIV
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
UCE
0 - 0
RIV
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TEC
1 - 0
RIV
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |