CD El Nacional vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
IVT
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
MUS
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
RIV
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
4 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIG
36%
30%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |