CD El Nacional vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUC
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
RIV
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 3
CUE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
RIV
53%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
UCE
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |