CD El Nacional vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1975 |
NAC
0 - 0
GAL
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 1
NAC
25%
22%
53%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
GAL
0 - 0
POR
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
POR
70%
16%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
MIL
2 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
VAL
0 - 1
POR
24%
21%
55%
|
67 | 32 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1974 |
POR
0 - 0
NAC
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |