CD El Nacional vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
8%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
3 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
0 - 1
PEÑ
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
61%
24%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
8%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
TEC
79%
12%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |