CD El Nacional vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 1
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1995 |
ABC
1 - 2
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1994 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1994 |
COR
1 - 3
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1994 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |