Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-0
CD El Nacional vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
4 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
45%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
EME
2 - 0
OLM
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 0
OLM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
OLM
2 - 1
CUE
47%
28%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 2
OLM
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CUE
4 - 0
OLM
39%
29%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |