CD El Nacional vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
78%
13%
8%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
3 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1978 |
LIG
3 - 2
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
61%
24%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
3 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEC
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |