CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
ORE
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DEL
1 - 1
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
ORE
1 - 1
NAC
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 0
DEL
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
5 - 1
BSC
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
CUE
3 - 1
MUS
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
2 - 1
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 0
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |