CD El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 4
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 3
NAC
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 3
QUI
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MUS
2 - 2
AUC
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 2
MUS
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 3
NAC
38%
29%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
BSC
6 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 1
IVT
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |