CD El Nacional vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
QUI
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
EME
5 - 0
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
IVT
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BSC
4 - 0
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
OLM
1 - 0
MAN
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 1
OLM
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |