CD El Nacional vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BSC
3 - 1
NAC
44%
28%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CUE
1 - 1
NAC
41%
29%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CUE
2 - 0
MAN
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
ESP
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
LOJ
2 - 0
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
LOJ
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |