CD El Nacional vs Manta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 0
NAC
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
BSC
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 3
NAC
36%
27%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
CUE
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
LDU
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
QUI
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |