CD El Nacional vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
UCE
1 - 3
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
MUS
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 3
CUE
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 1
BSC
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 2
LIG
39%
33%
28%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 0
LIG
39%
31%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LIG
3 - 2
IVT
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |