CD El Nacional vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAC
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 0
EME
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
EME
2 - 2
LIG
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |