Primera A Finals Final
Global 3-2
CD El Nacional vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 3
LOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 2
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
5 - 1
IMB
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
UCH
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 0
OLM
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
EME
2 - 1
LIG
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 1
LIG
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 2
IMB
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |