CD El Nacional vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAC
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2010 |
MAC
4 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 0
NAC
38%
30%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
52%
26%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2010 |
OLM
2 - 3
LIG
38%
30%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
LIG
4 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
LIG
0 - 19
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
IVT
0 - 2
LIG
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2010 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |