CD El Nacional vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
OLM
1 - 3
NAC
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
ESP
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
CIE
1 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
IND
3 - 1
QUI
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
RIV
4 - 1
IND
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
IND
0 - 1
BAN
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |