CD El Nacional vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 1
NAC
57%
26%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
EME
2 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
DES
0 - 1
GRE
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1994 |
BOT
1 - 0
GRE
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
SPO
1 - 2
GRE
43%
29%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |