CD El Nacional vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
TEC
0 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
LIG
30%
26%
43%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLM
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FAM
1 - 2
MUS
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
AUC
2 - 1
FAM
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
TEC
2 - 1
FAM
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 3
BSC
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |