CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CLA
2 - 2
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
UCE
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CUE
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
0 - 3
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
RIV
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 4
EME
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
EME
3 - 0
BSC
49%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 3
EME
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |