CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 3
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
IVT
28%
26%
45%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
BSC
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EME
2 - 0
BSC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SCI
3 - 2
EME
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 1
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
EME
3 - 0
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EME
1 - 1
UCE
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |