CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 3
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 5
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
EME
0 - 1
LDU
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
EME
1 - 1
OLM
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
6 - 0
EME
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2008 |
EME
0 - 3
BSC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
DPT
1 - 2
EME
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |