CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 0
VEL
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
PAL
7 - 0
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
EME
2 - 3
VEL
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1997 |
EME
2 - 2
RAC
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
GRE
2 - 0
EME
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
EME
0 - 0
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |