CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1995 |
EME
2 - 2
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
EME
1 - 3
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
EME
3 - 1
MIN
80%
15%
6%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
MIN
2 - 0
EME
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |