CD El Nacional vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UCH
1 - 0
NAC
49%
21%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
3 - 1
UCH
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
EME
0 - 0
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
1 - 1
EME
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCH
0 - 0
EME
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
EME
1 - 2
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
EME
2 - 1
UCH
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
EME
0 - 0
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |