CD El Nacional vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MUS
0 - 1
NAC
40%
30%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCE
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 3
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
51%
28%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 0
QUI
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
4 - 0
QUI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
OLM
0 - 0
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |