CD El Nacional vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
LIG
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
41%
28%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 1
CUE
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
TIG
4 - 0
QUI
50%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
IVT
2 - 2
QUI
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |