CD El Nacional vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLM
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 1
NAC
43%
29%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 0
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
QUI
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
LIG
0 - 1
QUI
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
EME
0 - 0
QUI
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |