CD El Nacional vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 0
NAC
33%
30%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
CRZ
2 - 0
QUI
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 1
QUI
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 0
QUI
30%
30%
41%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |