CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 1
CUE
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
UCE
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
QUI
4 - 1
DEP
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
BSC
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |