CD El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 3
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
EME
5 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
EME
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
39%
30%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cuenca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 1
BSC
33%
30%
37%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CUE
0 - 1
QUI
31%
29%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 1
CUE
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CUE
3 - 2
MUS
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |